Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Predictions for Sunday December 14 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/14/2025, 01:15 AM ET
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The Utah Mammoth continue their road swing with a Sunday afternoon matchup against the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena. Before placing any wagers on this NHL showdown, make sure to check the latest free NHL picks and expert predictions, where you’ll find daily betting insights, matchup trends, and sharp analysis.

Game Overview

Utah enters this contest with a 15-15-3 record, sitting squarely in the middle of the Western Conference pack. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has been one of the league’s most difficult teams to read at 14-8-7, blending strong offensive efficiency with inconsistent recent results.

This matchup features two teams that can score but differ greatly in special teams efficiency and defensive structure — a key factor in how this game is likely to unfold.

Utah Mammoth Breakdown

Offensive Analysis

  • 3.00 goals per game

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  • 28.4 shots per game

  • Power Play: 14.6%

Utah’s offense is driven primarily by its top line and transition play. While they average a solid three goals per game, their power play has been a glaring weakness.

Key contributors:

  • Clayton Keller: 28 points (10G, 18A), primary offensive engine

  • Logan Cooley: 14 goals, but currently out, limiting Utah’s scoring depth

  • Heavy reliance on Keller to create chances off the rush

Without Cooley in the lineup, Utah becomes far more predictable offensively and struggles to sustain zone time.

Defensive Play & Goaltending

  • 2.94 goals allowed per game

  • Penalty Kill: 82.8%

Utah has been solid defensively overall, particularly on the penalty kill. Goaltending has been respectable but unspectacular.

Expected options:

  • Karel Vejmelka: 2.72 GAA, .895 SV%

  • Vitek Vanecek: 2.87 GAA, .878 SV%

Vejmelka gives Utah the better chance to stay competitive, but he faces a Penguins team that excels on the power play.

Recent Form

The Mammoth are 2–3 in their last five games, including a solid 5–3 home win over Seattle. However, their road play remains inconsistent, especially against teams with strong special teams.

Pittsburgh Penguins Breakdown

Offensive Analysis

  • 3.10 goals per game

  • 28.3 shots per game

  • Power Play: 31.2% (elite)

Pittsburgh’s offense is still driven by its veteran core and remains lethal with the man advantage.

Key contributors:

  • Sidney Crosby: 32 points (18G, 14A)

  • Evgeni Malkin: 21 assists (currently injured, but puck movement remains strong)

  • High conversion rate on limited power play chances

Even without Malkin fully available, the Penguins’ power play remains one of the most dangerous in the league.

Defensive Play & Goaltending

  • 2.76 goals allowed per game

  • Penalty Kill: 84.7%

Goaltending depth has been a quiet strength:

  • Stuart Skinner: 2.83 GAA, .891 SV%

  • Arturs Silovs: 2.98 GAA, .900 SV%

  • Sergei Murashov: 1.90 GAA, .913 SV% (limited action)

Pittsburgh’s defensive structure is disciplined, especially at home, where they limit second-chance opportunities.

Recent Form

The Penguins have dropped three straight games, but two came via shootout and one on the road. Their underlying metrics remain strong, and this home matchup presents a rebound opportunity.

Matchup Edge & Betting Angles

  • Pittsburgh’s elite power play vs Utah’s below-average power play

  • Penguins have a significant special teams edge

  • Utah missing Logan Cooley reduces offensive balance

  • Afternoon home games favor structured teams like Pittsburgh

If Utah takes penalties, they are likely to pay for it.

Picks & Predictions

Utah can compete at even strength, but Pittsburgh’s special teams and home-ice structure give them a clear edge. Expect the Penguins to control possession, win the special teams battle, and dictate tempo. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on the Mammoth. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Penguins with the Kickr promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Penguins vs Mammoth you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Best Picks:

  • Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline
  • Over 5.5 Goals — both teams average 3+ goals per game
  • Penguins Power Play Goal (Yes) if available

Final Score Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Utah Mammoth 2

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