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Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Predictions for Wednesday April 29 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/29/2026, 12:10 AM ET

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The Utah Mammoth travel to face the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 10:00 PM and coverage available on TNT/truTV/HBO Max. The betting odds list Vegas as a -166 moneyline favorite, while Utah is priced at +140. The total is set at 5.5 goals, with the over at -135 and the under at +114, while the puck line has Utah +1.5 at -185 and Vegas -1.5 at +154. The series is tied 2-2 entering Game 5. Get a winner with our Free NHL Picks.

Previous Game Recap

Vegas recently won over Utah by a 5-4 final score in overtime, evening the series at 2-2 in a game that had plenty of swings. The Golden Knights started fast with two goals in the first period, while Utah answered with two goals in the second. Both teams scored twice in the third period before Vegas delivered the deciding goal in overtime to secure the road win.

Vegas received a major offensive effort from Brett Howden, who scored two goals and added an assist while putting three shots on net. Jack Eichel was a major playmaker with three assists and six shots, while Pavel Dorofeyev scored once on four shots. Cole Smith and Shea Theodore also scored, and Noah Hanifin added two assists from the defensive group. Carter Hart faced 31 shots and made 27 saves in the win.

Utah had several strong individual performances despite the loss. Michael Carcone, Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz, and Ian Cole each scored, while Mikhail Sergachev contributed three assists from the blue line. Dylan Guenther generated seven shots and added an assist, and Nick Schmaltz also had an assist to go with his goal. Karel Vejmelka faced 36 shots and made 31 saves across the overtime defeat.

Utah Trying to Answer After Overtime Heartbreak

The Mammoth enter this matchup with a 43-33-6 overall record and a 21-17-3 mark on the road. Utah has gone 2-3 over its last five games, recently lost to Vegas by a 5-4 overtime score, and had previously won over the Golden Knights by scores of 4-2 and 3-2. The series has already shown narrow margins, with Utah winning twice before dropping the most recent matchup in overtime.

Utah averages 3.27 goals per game while allowing 2.93 goals against per game. The Mammoth generate 27.7 shots per game and allow 26.1 shots against. On special teams, Utah has scored 46 power-play goals with a 20.0 percent power-play rate, while allowing 54 power-play goals against with a 78.1 percent penalty-kill rate.

A key strength for Utah is its ability to keep games competitive through balanced scoring and shot control. The Mammoth average more goals per game than they allow and also give up only 26.1 shots per game, which gives them a stable foundation even when the scoreboard tightens late.

Vegas Looking to Use Home Ice in Game 5

The Golden Knights enter this game with a 39-26-17 overall record and a 20-12-9 mark at home. Vegas has gone 3-2 over its last five games, recently won over Utah by a 5-4 overtime score after recently lost to Utah in consecutive games. Before those two losses, the Golden Knights had recently won over Utah 4-2 and also recently won over Seattle 4-1.

Vegas averages 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against per game. The Golden Knights generate 29.0 shots per game and allow 24.4 shots against. Their power play sits at 24.6 percent with 58 power-play goals, while the penalty kill is at 81.4 percent with 38 power-play goals allowed.

A clear strength for Vegas is its special-teams profile. The Golden Knights have the higher power-play percentage and the stronger penalty-kill percentage in this matchup, which could matter in a series where the margins have already been tight.

Mammoth vs Golden Knights Picks and Prediction

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Moneyline Pick

  • Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline.

Vegas enters Game 5 with home ice and momentum after recently winning over Utah in overtime. The Golden Knights also hold the edge in shots per game, shots allowed per game, power-play percentage, and penalty-kill percentage. Utah has been competitive throughout the series, but Vegas’ special-teams advantage and stronger shot prevention numbers give the home side the edge in a pivotal matchup with the series tied 2-2.

Total Pick

  • Over 5.5.

The lean is toward the over because the most recent game finished 5-4 in overtime, and both teams average more than three goals per game. Utah averages 3.27 goals per game, while Vegas averages 3.22, and the provided total is only 5.5. With both offenses showing the ability to produce and the last meeting clearing the number, the over is the preferred side.

Final Score Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Utah Mammoth 3

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