Vegas Golden Knights vs Anaheim Ducks Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
Use Code PPWC
The Vegas Golden Knights will visit the Anaheim Ducks for Game 4 of the Western Conference Second Round on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at Honda Center in Anaheim, California. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 PM with coverage on ESPN. Vegas enters as a -122 moneyline favorite, while Anaheim is listed at +102. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the over priced at -108 and the under at -112. On the puck line, the Golden Knights are -1.5 at +205, while the Ducks are +1.5 at -250. Vegas leads the series 2-1 heading into Game 4. With all the playoffs action it is the perfect time to get in on our free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Vegas recently won over Anaheim 6-2 in Game 3 to take a 2-1 series lead. The Golden Knights came out fast with three first-period goals, added two more in the second, and carried a commanding 5-0 lead into the third period. Anaheim finally answered with two goals in the final frame, but Vegas had already taken full control of the game with a complete road performance.
Mitch Marner led the Golden Knights with a huge offensive night, scoring three goals and adding one assist while finishing with five shots. Brett Howden added a goal and an assist, while Brayden McNabb and Shea Theodore also scored from the blue line. Jack Eichel, William Karlsson, and Mark Stone each contributed assists, and Carter Hart was sharp in net, stopping 31 of 33 shots for a .939 save percentage.
Anaheim received third-period goals from Chris Kreider and Beckett Sennecke, while Leo Carlsson, Mikael Granlund, Alex Killorn, and Troy Terry each added an assist. The Ducks generated 33 shots on goal, but the early deficit proved too large to overcome. Lukas Dostal allowed three goals on eight shots in the opening period, while Ville Husso came on and stopped 17 of 19 shots the rest of the way.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Golden Knights Carry Control Into Game 4
Vegas enters Game 4 with a 39-26-17 overall record and a 19-14-8 road record. The Golden Knights recently won over Anaheim 6-2 after previously recently lost to Anaheim 3-1 in Game 2. Before that, Vegas recently won over Anaheim 3-1 in Game 1, recently won over Utah 5-1, and recently won over Utah 5-4 in double overtime. The Golden Knights have won four of their last five games and now hold the series lead.
Vegas is averaging 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against per game. The Golden Knights generate 29.0 shots per game while allowing only 24.4 shots against. Vegas also owns 58 power-play goals with a 24.6 percent power-play rate, while the penalty kill sits at 81.4 percent.
The biggest strength for Vegas is its control of shot volume and special teams. The Golden Knights allow far fewer shots per game than Anaheim, and they also hold the stronger power-play percentage and penalty-kill percentage. That combination gives Vegas a clear path to controlling pace if it avoids another slow offensive start like Game 2.
Ducks Need a Stronger Home Response
Anaheim enters this matchup with a 43-33-6 overall record and a 24-13-4 home record. The Ducks recently lost to Vegas 6-2 after previously recently won over Vegas 3-1 in Game 2. Anaheim also recently lost to Vegas 3-1 in Game 1, recently won over Edmonton 5-2, and recently lost to Edmonton 4-1. The Ducks have gone 2-3 across their last five games and now need a response to even the series.
Anaheim is averaging 3.23 goals per game while allowing 3.51 goals against per game. The Ducks average 30.8 shots per game while allowing 28.4 shots against. Anaheim has recorded 49 power-play goals with an 18.6 percent conversion rate, while the penalty kill is operating at 76.4 percent.
The key issue for Anaheim entering Game 4 is defensive consistency. The Ducks have the slight edge in goals per game and shots per game, but they are allowing 3.51 goals per contest and just gave up six goals in Game 3. Anaheim must tighten up defensively, especially early, after falling behind by three goals in the first period last game.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Anaheim Ducks Picks and Prediction
Side Pick
- Pick: Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline
Vegas is the side here because the Golden Knights enter with the series lead, stronger recent form, and the better defensive profile. Vegas has won four of its last five games, including two of the first three games in this series. The Golden Knights also allow only 24.4 shots per game compared to Anaheim’s 28.4 shots allowed, and Vegas holds advantages on both the power play and penalty kill. Anaheim has been solid at home, but Game 3 showed how quickly Vegas can take control when its offense starts fast.
Total Pick
- Pick: Under 6.5
The lean is toward the under despite the 6-2 result in Game 3. The first two games of this series finished 3-1 and 3-1, and both teams have shown they can play tighter playoff-style hockey. Vegas allows only 2.95 goals per game and limits opponents to 24.4 shots per game, which helps support a lower-scoring setup. Anaheim has offensive upside, but the Golden Knights’ defensive numbers and stronger penalty kill make the under the preferred total play.
Final Score Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Anaheim Ducks 2
Never Tried Picks and Parlays? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code BUCK
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly!
