Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth Picks and Prediction for Friday May 1 2026
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The Vegas Golden Knights travel to face the Utah Mammoth in Game 6 of their Western Conference First Round playoff series at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, on Friday, May 1, 2026, with puck drop set for 10:00 PM and coverage airing on ESPN. Vegas leads the series 3-2 and has a chance to clinch on the road, while Utah returns home looking to force a Game 7. The Golden Knights are listed at -115 on the moneyline, while the Mammoth are listed at -105, and the total is set at 5.5 goals. Vegas is also +215 on the -1.5 puck line, while Utah is +1.5 at -265. Get into all the NHL action with our free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
The Vegas Golden Knights recently won over the Utah Mammoth by a 5-4 final score in double overtime in Game 5, taking a 3-2 lead in the series. Utah scored once in the first, once in the second, and twice in the third, while Vegas answered with one goal in the first, two in the second, one in the third, and the deciding goal in the second overtime. It was a dramatic, high-pressure playoff game where both teams traded momentum before Vegas finally found the winner.
Vegas was led by Pavel Dorofeyev, who delivered a massive performance with three goals on five shots. Shea Theodore added a goal and an assist, while Brett Howden also scored for the Golden Knights. Jack Eichel contributed two assists and five shots, and Carter Hart stopped 34 of 38 shots with a .895 save percentage in a game that stretched deep into double overtime.
For Utah, Michael Carcone, Lawson Crouse, Dylan Guenther, and John Marino each scored in the loss. Clayton Keller added two assists and four shots, while Alexander Kerfoot, Nick Schmaltz, Kailer Yamamoto, Mikhail Sergachev, and MacKenzie Weegar each recorded an assist. Karel Vejmelka faced 36 shots and made 31 saves, finishing with a .861 save percentage as Utah came up just short in a one-goal playoff battle. 
Vegas Looks to Close the Door Away From Home
The Vegas Golden Knights enter Game 6 with a 39-26-17 record and a 19-14-8 mark away from home. Over their last five games, Vegas has recently won over Utah in double overtime, recently won over Utah in overtime, recently lost to Utah 4-2, recently lost to Utah 3-2, and recently won over Utah 4-2. The Golden Knights have now won back-to-back overtime games and hold a 3-2 series lead heading into this road matchup.
Vegas averages 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against. The Golden Knights generate 29.0 shots per game and allow just 24.4 shots against. On special teams, Vegas has scored 58 power-play goals with a 24.6 percent conversion rate, while allowing 38 power-play goals against with an 81.4 percent penalty-kill rate. The Golden Knights have also scored six shorthanded goals.
One key strength for Vegas is its shot-control profile. The Golden Knights average 29.0 shots per game while allowing only 24.4, giving them a clear edge in generating chances while limiting the opponent’s volume. Their power play percentage also stands out as a major strength in a series where one special teams chance can shift the game.
Utah Tries to Answer Back at Delta Center
The Utah Mammoth come into Game 6 with a 43-33-6 record and a 22-16-3 mark at home. Over their last five games, Utah has recently lost to Vegas in double overtime, recently lost to Vegas in overtime, recently won over Vegas 4-2, recently won over Vegas 3-2, and recently lost to Vegas 4-2. The Mammoth are now trailing 3-2 in the series after back-to-back overtime losses.
Utah averages 3.27 goals per game while allowing 2.93 goals against. The Mammoth produce 27.7 shots per game and allow 26.1 shots against. Their power play has produced 46 goals with a 20.0 percent success rate, while their penalty kill sits at 78.1 percent after allowing 54 power-play goals against. Utah has also scored eight shorthanded goals.
A key strength for Utah is its slightly higher scoring average, as the Mammoth average 3.27 goals per game compared with Vegas at 3.22. The concern is special teams, where Utah’s power play percentage and penalty-kill percentage both sit below Vegas’ numbers. In a close playoff game, that could be the difference.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth Picks and Prediction
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bruce Marshall | +8,742.00 |
| 2 |  Bryan Power | +3,958.00 |
| 3 |  Sean Higgs | +2,820.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,870.00 |
| 5 |  Steve Seagrave | +1,832.00 |
Moneyline Pick
- Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas on the moneyline at -115 is the pick. The Golden Knights lead the series 3-2 and have recently won over Utah in consecutive overtime games, including the double-overtime win in Game 5. Vegas also has the stronger shot profile, averaging 29.0 shots per game while allowing only 24.4, and their power play percentage sits at 24.6 percent. Utah has been right there in the series and owns the home-ice setting for Game 6, but Vegas has the recent results, the special teams edge, and the series lead entering this matchup.
Total Pick
- Over 5.5
The total is set at 5.5 goals, and the lean is toward the over. The last two games both finished 5-4 in overtime, and Game 5 reached that same score in double overtime. Utah averages 3.27 goals per game, while Vegas averages 3.22, so both teams have provided enough offensive production to support another higher-scoring result. With recent head-to-head results pushing past this number and both teams showing the ability to answer offensively, I like the over 5.5 here.
Final Score Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Utah Mammoth 3
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