Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth Picks and Predictions for Monday April 27 2026
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The Vegas Golden Knights visit the Utah Mammoth in Game 4 of their Western Conference First Round series at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, on Monday, April 27, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 PM with coverage on ESPN. Utah leads the series 2-1 after taking the previous game, while Vegas looks to even the matchup on the road. The betting odds list Vegas at -115 on the moneyline and Utah at -105, with the total set at 5.5 goals. Vegas is also listed at -1.5 on the puck line at +215, while Utah is +1.5 at -265. Make sure you are ready for all the NHL playoff action with our Free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Utah took control of Game 3 with a 4-2 win over Vegas, moving ahead 2-1 in the series. The Mammoth started quickly, scoring twice in the first period and twice more in the second to build a 4-1 advantage. Vegas did manage to answer with one goal in the second and another in the third, but Utah had already created enough separation to protect the result and grab the series lead at home.
For Vegas, Nic Dowd and Jack Eichel provided the goals, while Ivan Barbashev, Reilly Smith, Cole Smith, and Mark Stone each added an assist. Eichel also finished with three shots, two blocked shots, and 22:23 of ice time, while Dowd had three shots and won eight of ten faceoffs. Carter Hart had a difficult outing in net, stopping eight of 12 shots as Utah turned limited chances into four goals.
Utah was led by Lawson Crouse, who scored twice on two shots and finished with a plus-two rating. Dylan Guenther added a goal on four shots, while MacKenzie Weegar produced a goal and an assist from the blue line. Clayton Keller chipped in two assists, and Karel Vejmelka was excellent in goal, stopping 30 of 32 shots with a .938 save percentage to help Utah take command of the game.
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Golden Knights Search for a Road Response
Vegas enters Game 4 with a 39-26-17 record and a 19-14-8 mark away from home. The Golden Knights recently lost to Utah 4-2 in Game 3 and also recently lost to Utah 3-2 in Game 2 after recently winning over Utah 4-2 in the series opener. Before that, Vegas recently won over Seattle 4-1 and recently won over Winnipeg 6-2, giving the team three wins and two losses across its last five games.
The Golden Knights are averaging 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against. They also average 29.0 shots per game and allow 24.4 shots against, giving them a strong shot profile based on the provided team numbers. On special teams, Vegas has 58 power-play goals with a 24.6 percent power-play rate, while allowing 38 power-play goals against with an 81.4 percent penalty-kill rate.
The biggest strength for Vegas is its combination of shot volume and special-teams efficiency. The Golden Knights generate more shots per game than Utah and allow fewer shots against, while also holding the stronger power-play percentage. However, the previous result showed that those advantages did not automatically turn into a win, so finishing chances and avoiding another early deficit will be important.
Mammoth Carry Momentum Back Into Game 4
Utah comes into this matchup with a 43-33-6 record and a 22-16-3 home mark. The Mammoth recently won over Vegas 4-2 in Game 3 and recently won over Vegas 3-2 in Game 2, giving them back-to-back wins in the series after recently losing to Vegas 4-2 in Game 1. Over their last five games, Utah also recently lost to St. Louis 5-3 and recently won over Winnipeg 5-3.
The Mammoth are averaging 3.27 goals per game while allowing 2.93 goals against. Utah averages 27.7 shots per game and allows 26.1 shots against. On special teams, the Mammoth have scored 46 power-play goals with a 20.0 percent power-play rate, while allowing 54 power-play goals against with a 78.1 percent penalty-kill rate. Utah also has eight shorthanded goals, compared to six for Vegas.
Utah’s key strength is its ability to turn opportunities into results, as shown by its slightly better goals per game and goals-against average compared with Vegas. The Mammoth do not hold the same shot advantage or power-play percentage, but they have been effective enough offensively and defensively to take control of the series. Their recent back-to-back wins over Vegas give them a clear confidence boost heading into another home game.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick
- Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas has lost the last two games in the series, but the provided team numbers still give the Golden Knights a strong case on the moneyline. They average more shots per game, allow fewer shots against, and have the better power-play percentage and penalty-kill percentage. Utah has the series lead and the recent 4-2 win, but Vegas’ overall profile in shots and special teams points toward a bounce-back opportunity. The pick is Vegas on the moneyline.
Total Pick
- Over 5.5
The total is set at 5.5, and both teams have offensive numbers that support a lean toward the over. Vegas averages 3.22 goals per game, while Utah averages 3.27, and their last two games in the series finished with five and six total goals. Utah recently won over Vegas 4-2 in Game 3, and Vegas recently won over Utah 4-2 in Game 1. With both sides showing enough scoring ability in the provided data, the lean is toward over 5.5 goals.
Final Score Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Utah Mammoth 3
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