Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, December 3, 2025
The Winnipeg Jets head into Bell Centre on Wednesday night to take on the Montreal Canadiens in a matchup between two teams that can score in bursts but have struggled to keep pucks out of their own net. Winnipeg enters at 13-12-0, a perfectly middling record that reflects their inconsistency on this road trip, while Montreal sits at 13-9-3, slightly ahead in the standings but coming off back-to-back heavy defeats. With both clubs hovering around the playoff bubble, this is the kind of inter-conference game that often has outsized impact later in the year. For more breakdowns across the Wednesday slate, you can check out the latest free NHL picks before you lock anything in.
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Winnipeg Jets – Good Metrics, Mixed Results
Winnipeg’s profile is almost the definition of “solid but not spectacular.” The Jets sit at 13-12-0 overall and 7-7-0 on the road, and their last five show how volatile they’ve been: a 5–1 loss at Buffalo, a strong 5–2 win in Nashville, but three straight defeats before that (Carolina, Washington, Minnesota).
Offensively, Winnipeg averages 3.04 goals per game on 26.3 shots, driven almost entirely by Mark Scheifele. He leads the team with 32 points, 13 goals, and 19 assists, and when his line is rolling, the Jets can keep up with anyone. Their power play at 22.1% is above average and can punish undisciplined teams, which matters against a Montreal side that already has 277 penalty minutes.
Defensively, the Jets allow 3.00 goals per game and 29.2 shots, so they’re not collapsing, but they’re not exactly suffocating either. The bigger story is in net: Connor Hellebuyck’s stat line (2.51 GAA, .913 SV%) is strong, but he’s currently on IR until early January, which means the workload falls on Eric Comrie and Thomas Milic. Comrie’s 3.13 GAA and .893 SV% tell you this isn’t the same level of security, and without Hellebuyck, Winnipeg’s margin for error drops considerably.
Montreal Canadiens – High Event, High Risk
Montreal comes in at 13-9-3 and 6-6-1 at home, but the recent form is ugly: a 5–2 loss to Ottawa and a 7–2 hammering in Colorado. Before that they put together three straight wins (at Vegas, at Utah, vs Toronto), so the talent is clearly there—it’s just not consistent.
The Canadiens score 3.42 goals per game, one of the healthier offensive figures on the board. Nick Suzuki leads the way with 30 points and 22 assists, and Cole Caufield continues to be the primary finisher with 14 goals. Montreal doesn’t shoot a ton (24.8 shots per game), but they make them count—especially on the power play, which is at 23.5%.
The issue is defense and goaltending. Montreal allows 3.54 goals per game and 27.5 shots, and neither goalie has truly grabbed the crease. Jakub Dobes (3.22 GAA, .888 SV%) and Samuel Montembeault (3.49 GAA, .864 SV%) both sit below where you’d want starters to be. That’s why Montreal games so often turn into track meets, especially when their transition game is clicking.
Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens – Advanced Analytics & Matchup Breakdown
On paper, this is a matchup between Winnipeg’s slightly better defensive structure and Montreal’s slightly better offensive ceiling.
Winnipeg’s power play (22.1%) vs Montreal’s penalty kill (76.5%) tilts toward the Jets—they can absolutely exploit a Canadiens PK that’s been leaky all season. But on the other side, Montreal’s power play is just as dangerous, and Winnipeg’s PK (83.9%) will be tested by Suzuki’s distribution and Caufield’s one-timer.
The big swing factor is in goal. With Hellebuyck out, Winnipeg loses its biggest trump card, and the gap between Comrie and the Montreal tandem isn’t large enough to overcome home-ice advantage plus the Habs’ offensive touch.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +2,063.00 |
| 2 |  Chip Chirimbes | +1,495.00 |
| 3 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,490.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +1,379.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,323.00 |
Picks and Prediction
Given the numbers and the context, I’m taking Montreal Canadiens ML (-110). Without Hellebuyck, Winnipeg drops from “defensively trustworthy” to “average at best,” and Montreal at home—despite recent blowouts—still has enough scoring depth to tilt this in their favor. I expect Suzuki and Caufield to generate enough high-danger looks to exploit the Jets’ backup situation.
On the total, I like the over 6.5 goals (+105). Both teams are around three goals for and three against per game, the goaltending situation is not ideal on either side, and Montreal’s recent games have been very high event. Unless Comrie stands on his head, this projects as a 4–3 type game. Betting on sports and on the Canadiens is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Jets with the Novig promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Canadiens vs Jets you are using the BetMGM bonus code.
My Final Picks:
- Montreal Canadiens ML (-110)
- Over 6.5 Goals (+105)
Projected Final Score: Canadiens 4 – Jets 3
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