Winnipeg Jets vs New York Rangers Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 22 2026
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The Winnipeg Jets travel to face the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, March 22, 2026, with puck drop set for 12:00 PM on ESPN+. The Rangers come in as a home favorite at -142 on the moneyline, while the Jets sit at +110. The total for this matchup is set at 5.5 goals, and the puck line shows Winnipeg +1.5 (-218) and New York -1.5 (+180). This early afternoon matchup features two teams looking to build momentum as the season winds down. Be sure to also check out our free NHL picks for more expert analysis and daily selections.
Jets Searching for Road Stability
The Winnipeg Jets enter this contest with a 28-29-11 overall record and have struggled away from home with an 11-16-5 road record. In their last five games, the Jets have recently lost to Boston 6-1, recently lost to Nashville 4-3 in a shootout, recently won over St. Louis 3-2, recently won over Colorado 3-1, and recently lost to these same New York Rangers 6-3. That recent loss to New York gives this matchup a bit of a revenge angle, but consistency has been an issue for Winnipeg.
Offensively, the Jets are averaging 2.81 goals per game while allowing 3.07 goals against per game, which highlights a negative goal differential that has plagued them throughout the season. They are generating 26.4 shots per game and allowing 27.9 shots against, showing they are often getting outpaced slightly in puck possession. Their special teams have been average, converting at 18.0% on the power play with 34 goals, while their penalty kill sits at 78.7%.
One area the Jets have leaned on is their ability to stay somewhat disciplined defensively in key moments, even if the overall numbers are middling. They have allowed 40 power play goals and have managed five short-handed goals themselves. However, their inability to consistently suppress scoring chances has made it difficult to close out tight games, especially on the road where defensive breakdowns tend to be magnified.
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Rangers Looking to Build at Home
The New York Rangers come into this game with a 28-33-8 record and have also struggled at home with a 9-17-6 mark at Madison Square Garden. Despite that, they have shown improved form recently, as they have recently lost to Columbus 6-3 but recently won over New Jersey 6-3, recently won over Los Angeles 4-1, recently won over Minnesota 4-2, and recently won over Winnipeg 6-3. That recent stretch suggests their offense is starting to click at the right time.
The Rangers are averaging 2.80 goals per game while allowing 3.20 goals against per game, which mirrors some of Winnipeg’s defensive issues. They generate 25.1 shots per game but allow 29.4 shots against, indicating they often rely on opportunistic scoring rather than sustained offensive pressure. However, their power play has been a strength, converting at an impressive 24.0% with 42 power play goals.
Where the Rangers have found success is in their ability to capitalize on scoring chances when they arise. Their special teams edge is notable, even though their penalty kill sits at 77.7%. With 46 power play goals allowed, they have had defensive lapses, but their offensive efficiency and recent scoring surge have helped offset those issues. If they can continue to convert on the man advantage, they will be a tough out in this matchup.
Jets vs Rangers Pick
Winnipeg Jets vs New York Rangers Pick
- New York Rangers -142
The Rangers are the side to back in this matchup. While both teams have struggled defensively, New York comes in with significantly better recent form, especially offensively. They have scored at least four goals in four of their last five games and already handled Winnipeg convincingly in their recent meeting. The Jets’ road struggles combined with their inconsistency make it difficult to trust them here. With the Rangers showing confidence and offensive rhythm, backing the home side at a reasonable price is the right call.
Winnipeg Jets vs New York Rangers Total Pick
- Over 5.5
I’m going with the over in this one because both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and recent games have trended toward higher scoring. The Rangers have been involved in multiple games with six or more total goals, and Winnipeg has also allowed plenty of scoring chances. Given the recent 6-3 result between these teams, I expect another game where both offenses find success and push this total over the number.
Final Score Prediction: New York Rangers 4, Winnipeg Jets 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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