Brick Haus Sports
Event: (775) Duke at (776) California: Spread
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 14, 2026 11:00 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Duke -12.5 (-108)
The Duke Blue Devils are 15–1 this season and 4-0 in the ACC. The Duke Blue Devils are putting up 86.8 points per game on 49.8 percent shooting from the field and 35.5 percent shooting from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.6 points per game. The California Golden Bears are 13–4 overall, but just 1–3 in conference play. They are 12-1 at home this season. The California Golden Bears are putting up 79 points on 45.8 percent shooting from the field and 36.5 percent shooting from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.9 points per game. The Duke Blue Devils are 4-0 on the road in 2025. Duke is the superior team on both ends of the floor. California has been great at home but inconsistent in conference play. Duke is too powerful for Cal. Cal will keep it close early, but Duke pulls away and covers the number in the second half.
Play on Duke. This is a FREE play.
Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago
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Event: (769) Nevada at (770) Utah State: Spread
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 14, 2026 10:00 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Utah State -13.5 (-110)
Utah State -13.5 is the side you lay without blinking, because everything about this matchup points to a complete mismatch in efficiency, depth, and momentum, and the Aggies have already shown they can bury Nevada in this building—last year’s meeting in Logan ended in a 21‑point Utah State win, and this year’s team is even more explosive. The Aggies have been an absolute wagon at home, outscoring opponents by 25.8 points per game, and they’ve steamrolled their first five Mountain West opponents by an average of 26.2 ppg, which is almost unheard of in this league. Their offensive profile is elite across the board: 87.0 ppg, 53.2% shooting, 62.0% on twos, and a top‑15 national ranking in overall efficiency, all while turning it over just 11.7 times and assisting on nearly 19 buckets per night. Nevada simply doesn’t have the firepower or defensive resistance to keep pace—they’re shooting 43.9%, ranking outside the top 280 in both FG% and 3PT attempts, and they rely heavily on free throws (20.3 FTA per game) to stay afloat, something Utah State’s disciplined defense (only 17.5 fouls per game) is built to neutralize. The Wolf Pack’s defense also doesn’t travel well, allowing 71.9 ppg and ranking outside the top 200 in opponent 3PT%, opponent FT rate, and defensive rebounding. Utah State’s balance, pace control, and interior dominance (top‑10 nationally in 2P%) create a game script where Nevada is playing uphill from the opening tip, and with the Aggies already 4–0 ATS as a favorite in this series, the blowout profile is too strong to ignore. This is another Logan avalanche.
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Event: (759) Vanderbilt at (760) Texas: Spread
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 14, 2026 9:00 PM EST
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Texas +5.5 (-110)
Go with home teams with two or more losses versus opponent with one or fewer is 279-214-5. If the opponents is not ranked in the top 3 in the polls, it’s 49-32-1
Luck Factor indicates Vanderbilt has been lucky this season with 2 more real wins than advanced metrics say they should have with Texas at -1.1, a gap of 3.1.
TeamRankings Luck Factor in college basketball is a results-based over-/under-performance metric, not a projection or power rating. It is designed to isolate how much a team’s win–loss record deviates from what its scoring margins imply.The handicapping significance is lucky teams are overvalued and unlucky undervalued do to deceptive and overrated (from an ATS standpoint) SU records. Because the ratings are precise, it does not result in perfectly rounded numbers.
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