Free Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

(305) New Mexico State at (306) Florida International: Spread

2% Florida International -6.5 (-112)

FIU comes in 2-2 but they could be 4-0.
Vs USF th3y had a 381-208 yd edge but were -3 TO’
At FAU, they had a 357-258 yd edge but were -3 TO’s as well

FIU D TOP 20, holding their foes to 128 YPG under what they avg on offense

FIU allowing 81 (3.5) and only 57% COMP with 9 sacks L3 games

Coach Simmons took over LY and as a Fav/small Dog they are 5-2 ATS with one non-cover as a 37.5 pt Fav

ONLY 8 TEAMS OUTGAINED F5 FOES
BAMA, HOU, LIB, MIAF, NEB, NOTRE DAME, OHIO ST, VT

NMST is 2-3, and they have been outgained in all 4 FBS games, and in the two games they won, they rushed for 200+ yards

This is the 3^rd season under Sanchez, and while they are 6-8 ATS, they are 4-8 as an AD of +5 and higher and 1-8 when also excluding games as a Dog of +30 & higher failing to cover those losses by 13.3 PPG

Seagrave is on a strong 18-13 (58%) run with his posted Free Picks since August 27th!

Next Winner HERE:

Ben Rice Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 (-120) Action:

Ben Rice has covered this line in 3 of his first 4 playoff games during the 2026 campaign while going 7-15 (.467) with four home runs and a double in the process. Now Rice gets another crack at Nick Martinez who he's gone 4-9 (.444) against with three doubles and two free passes. Martinez hasn't pitched since September 27th in a game where he allowed 4 earned runs across only 2.2 innings of work against the Philadelphia Phillies. Rice has posted better power numbers at Yankee Stadium where he's hit 22 of his 41 home runs despite logging 45 less at-bats than on the highway. This is do or die for the Yankees and if they build up a solid lead, I'm not sure that we will see the Rays high leverage arms as they have three chances to win this series now.

*Playable at -130 or better

~ Adding breakdown Thursday ~

Free Play:

Malcolm Wellmaker wins inside the distance (+105)

(315) South Florida at (316) UTSA: Total

Total Under 50.5 (-112)

USF has played 4 FBS foes, gaining 208 yards as a 14.5 pt HF vs FIU, gaining 369 yds at Army, gaining only 214 yards as an 18.5 pt AF at Bowling Green, and then had 319 yds as a 5,5 pr HF vs Temple.
Those D’s rank #93,# 62, #124 and #111 with USF ranking 85.

In those 4 games, the Bulls offense has averaged 57.5 plays per game.

UTSA gained 525 yds at home vs. an FCS team, and 142 yards as a 30-pt Dog at Texas, but let's eliminate those top and bottom anomalies.
They had 398 yards at the #115 Texas St defense, 500+ yards at the #111 Colorado St defense, and 314 yards vs the #129 Rice D.
USF has the #72 defense, with a rush D allowing 134 (3.8)

This is a 2% PLAY

Play: (ANA) Jackson LaCombe Over 0.5 Assist (+100) at DraftKings

Jackson LaCombe has started the season in excellent form, and I like him to record another assist tonight against Edmonton.

LaCombe has picked up an assist in back-to-back games to open the season, and his role in Anaheim’s offense continues to grow. He is skating on the top power-play unit and logged a massive 28:41 of ice time in his last game, giving him plenty of opportunity to get involved offensively.

This has also been an outstanding matchup for LaCombe. He has recorded an assist in eight of his last nine games against Edmonton and has an assist in five of his last six home games against the Oilers. That kind of consistent production against the same opponent is difficult to ignore.

The matchup itself also sets up well. Edmonton has struggled defensively to begin the season and enters this game allowing 4.67 goals per game, while its penalty kill has also been vulnerable. With Anaheim’s power play clicking early, LaCombe should once again have multiple chances to pick up a helper.

Edmonton is also starting Devon Levi, who has posted a 4.02 GAA and .810 save percentage through his first two starts. If Anaheim generates the kind of offense I expect tonight, LaCombe is one of the Ducks most likely to be involved in the setup.

With assists in both games this season, a strong PP1 role, heavy ice time, and an excellent history against Edmonton, I like LaCombe to stay hot.

This is a 1% PLAY

Play: (WSH) Alex Ovechkin Anytime Goal (+205) at DraftKings

This is one of those spots where the narrative and the matchup line up perfectly, and at +205, I’m willing to take a shot on Alex Ovechkin finding the back of the net tonight.

This is Ovechkin’s final home opener of his NHL career, and it comes against Sidney Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins — the rival that has been tied to so many of the biggest moments of Ovechkin’s career.

Ovechkin has also had plenty of success against Pittsburgh over the years, scoring 38 goals in 75 career regular-season games against the Penguins. He recorded a point in all three meetings against Pittsburgh last season and scored against them in Washington’s 6-3 victory late in the year.

Ovechkin is still looking for his first goal of the season, and tonight will be his first opportunity to score at home after announcing that this will be his final NHL season. In what should be an extremely emotional atmosphere in Washington, I expect the Capitals to make a point of getting Ovechkin opportunities, especially on the power play.

The price is what really gets my attention. At +205, we only need Ovechkin to score roughly 31% of the time to break even. For the NHL’s all-time leading goal scorer, playing his final home opener against his biggest rival, I think that is worth taking.

Sometimes the storybook moment actually happens. Ovechkin scoring in his final home opener against Crosby and Pittsburgh would be about as fitting as it gets.

Colorado is attracting roughly 90% of the moneyline tickets. The Avalanche price has actually become cheaper, moving from approximately -190/-185 into the -180s or even -170s. The adverse price movement is worth noting, though public betting is not a factor in our moneyline handicap.

Winnipeg is 2-0-1 and has allowed only four goals across its last two victories. Stuart Skinner stopped 33 shots against Detroit, and Winnipeg then went into Pittsburgh and won 3-2. The Jets have made defending their identity and have five of a possible six points despite Connor Hellebuyck's suspension.

Colorado obviously owns the superior offensive ceiling. Nathan MacKinnon has five points, Cale Makar has three, and the Avalanche dismantled St. Louis 6-1. That's a major reason Winnipeg is available at such an attractive home-underdog price.

There is also a qualifying rest system on Colorado: road teams with at least a two-day rest advantage have gone 111-89, +14.79 units, 7.4% ROI. Colorado has the substantial rest advantage here, but that system isn't powerful enough to erase the value offered by a +155 home underdog playing well.

BET: WINNIPEG +155
Play to: +140

Our top organic handicapper prefers the UNDER and is willing to play 7 at -110.

Fried's report card is outstanding: 2.80 ERA, with a 2.75 ERA over his recent starts. He has allowed only four home runs in 112.2 innings all season.

Martinez counters with a 3.10 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and just 26 walks in 180 innings. His recent numbers have slipped, but his road report card is excellent: 2.38 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Martinez also faced New York on September 22 and delivered six scoreless innings. The Yankees have scored only two runs through the first two games of this series.

The starting-pitching profiles and New York's current offensive problems give the UNDER enough support even at the reduced number.

BET: UNDER 7
Play to: UNDER 7 -110.

I'm comfortable playing the side and total together because the reasoning doesn't require Las Vegas to suddenly explode offensively.

The public imbalance has moderated from overnight but remains substantial: 76% of the 2,892 spread tickets are Golden State, leaving Las Vegas with only 24%.

Yet Golden State hasn't been rewarded with a significant market move. The opener was Golden State -1.5, while the market now ranges from roughly -0.5 to -1.5. That's particularly interesting given Golden State's extremely convincing Game 1 victory.

The Luck Factor also favors Las Vegas regression-wise: Golden State sits at +2.4 compared with Las Vegas +0.9, a 1.5-game gap toward Vegas.

Game 1 also contained an extreme statistic that I'm reluctant to project forward: Golden State won the offensive-rebounding battle 17-2 and dominated the overall rebounding battle. Vegas doesn't have to reverse that advantage completely; merely normalizing it materially changes the game.

Las Vegas has also been exceptionally difficult to beat in consecutive postseason games. The Aces are 8-1 following playoff losses since 2022 and went 11-3 following losses this season.

BET: LAS VEGAS +1.5
Play to: +1

PSP Data Driven play on Under. 

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The White Sox are 4-2 in their last 6 home games. The Under is 3-1 in Sean Newcomb last 4 starts for the White Sox.

Brewers vs Padres October 7, 2026

The Angle(s): The San Diego Padres stayed alive with a 4-3 win in Game 3 and now hand the ball to Walker Buehler (4.63 ERA), who is fresh after missing the start of the series on the paternity list. Buehler's ERA does not jump off the page, but the Padres went 10-3 in his second-half starts and he brings a strong October track record from his Dodgers days. Buehler is 2-1 with a 2.53 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee. Every game in this series has been decided by one run, so getting the proven starter at home in a spot like this matters.

The Milwaukee Brewers have not named a starter as of the publication of this free pick, with Robert Gasser Shane Drohan and Chad Patrick the options, so this likely turns into a piecemeal game for them. With the Petco crowd behind them and the momentum flipped, we back the Padres to force a Game 5.

The Bet: Padres ML (3%). 

Good to: Padres -132.

SIZZLING 6-1 (85%) RUN with College Football sides (ML+ATS)!  36-20 since Sep 19, 2026 in All Sports!

For Wednesday, Mike has 3 premium picks (1 CFB, 1 MLB, 1 NHL). Grab an all-sports subscription and bet like a pro, with a pro.

On paper, Tennessee looks like the obvious side. The Volunteers are 4–1, ranked No. 15, and their only loss was a three-point defeat to Texas. But laying 13.5 points on the road in an SEC game is a different question, particularly against an Arkansas team whose record is worse than its schedule context suggests.

Arkansas is 2–3, but two of its three losses came against elite competition: Utah won 43–10 in Salt Lake City and Georgia won 45–17 in Fayetteville. The Razorbacks also enter off a 34–7 loss at Texas A&M, a score that creates an ideal buy-low opportunity for a home underdog that has been embarrassed and should be fully focused this week.

Tennessee has faced just one ranked opponent—the close loss to Texas—and now must travel to Fayetteville with a massive home matchup against Alabama waiting next week. That is a classic look-ahead spot: the Vols can still be the better team and win the game outright, but may lack the same urgency needed to separate by two touchdowns for four quarters.

Arkansas should be more capable offensively than it appeared against Georgia, Utah, and Texas A&M. The Razorbacks have played the nation’s 13th-toughest schedule to date, and Tennessee’s defense is not the same level of challenge as the units Arkansas faced in Utah and Georgia.

The key betting signal is the spread holding at Tennessee -13.5. Tennessee opened -13.5, yet the current market remains just below the critical two-touchdown number despite public interest leaning toward the Vols; books are not eager to offer Arkansas +14.

In college football, 14 is one of the most important margins because it represents two touchdowns. A line parked at 13.5 can indicate that respected money is supporting the underdog—or, at minimum, that sportsbooks are comfortable taking additional Tennessee tickets rather than moving to that key number.

Tennessee should ultimately win, but this sets up as a competitive SEC road game rather than a rout: Arkansas is playing at home, coming off an embarrassing loss, catching Tennessee in a potential look-ahead position, and receiving a number that has resisted a move to +14.

Take Arkansas +13.5.

This is a free play on DAL TT Over.

The Bucs come into Dallas as a two score underdog with a rookie QB that doesn't have any business being on an NFL roster. Dallas is averaging 30.5 points per game, which is right in line with where they were at last season. The Bucs have a capable defense, in fact they rank Top 5 in rushing yards against. With nose tackle Vita Vea jamming up the middle, they have boasted a Top 5 run defense in each of the last 4 seasons. That might not help them slow down the Cowboys and their pass first offense. This is just the second home game for Dallas, and they scored 37 points in a win over Washington in Week 2. They should be good for 30+ here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

I get that Jacksonville State would be 4-1 if not for a missed FG at Ohio. The Gamecocks also come into Wednesday looking for revenge after a a home loss to Kennesaw State in last December's C-USA Title Game. But I think the wrong team is favored here.

Both of Jacksonville State's losses this season have come on the road. Not only did the Gamecocks lose at Ohio, but I faded them in a 33-7 loss at North Dakota State in "Week 0." Meanwhile, Kennesaw State is 5-1 ATS as a home dog since moving up to the FBS level. This is going to be a desperate Owls team Wednesday night as they are off three straight losses. But the last two, one of which was against Tennessee, were on the road.

This is a FREE PLAY on the Yankees.

I like Max Fried at home in this elimination game.

"If we don't win, we go home, and this is where you leave everything out on the field," Fried assessed to reporters last night. "There's nothing else to save anything for."

It's difficult to point out too many negative things about Nick Martinez, but I give Fried the slight nod at home in this matchup.

Throw in the double-revenge factor, and I think that NEW YORK at this price, and considering the circumstances, is worth a "second look" in Game 3. But what do you think? Can New York rally and get a win, or do the Rays roll and post a sweep?!

Good luck, NP

(937) Cleveland Guardians at (938) Chicago White Sox: Total

Over 0.5 (-105) Daniel Espino (RHP), Sean Newcomb (LHP) Must Start

Espino has one YRFI in his 3 starts with a 4.11 ERA

Newcomb is a 1-2 inning starter has made only 6 starts and this is his only his 2^nd home starts.

The White Sox are 8-2 YRFI

The Guardians are 4-1 YRFI

The first game of the series went over the total by a couple of points. In this 2nd game Atlanta will be playing without Alicia Gray who has a thumb injury. I look for the the Dream to have to make a few adjustments on the fly, as they look to take a 2-0 lead this evening. The teams have met 4 times this year with 3 of the 4 going over the total. I look for a reversal of that trend this evening. Play the under.

In this "Battle of the Tylers" on the mound, LA's Glasnow version hasn't been especially sharp lately, as the Dodgers only split four of his September starts while Glasnow was posting a 5.24 ERA for the month. Glasnow was also on the mound on August 25 at Truist Park when roughed up a bit in 5 IP, allowing three runs and six hits in an eventual 4-3 Dodgers loss, and LA hasn't been exploding runs in in this series, just ten across three games.

Meanwhile, who's to say right now that Tyler Mahle isn't the ace of the Braves staff? With a 1.99 ERA to close the season in nine starts after beign acquired from the Giants at the deadline, Mahle continued solid form when allowing just 1 run thru 7 IP last Wednesday int he wild card round vs. the Phils. Note how Atlanta has been going back-and-forth with results in the playoffs, and can do so again to force a Game 5 back at Chavez Ravine. Play Braves on Money Line

Ricky's play on SD.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Padres are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

- The Padres are 4-2 in the last 6 head to head meetings.
  
- The Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

Los Angeles starter Tyler Glasnow projects to give up just 1.8 runs with a 3.03 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.  Atlanta’s lineup has hit just .181 (19-105) with a weak .546 OPS against Glasnow in his career.  The Braves will start Tyler Mahle.  The righty projects to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.27 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.  With both starting pitchers projecting well, expect the offenses to struggle resulting in a low-scoring game on Wednesday night.

Play UNDER the total.

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We’ve been underwhelmed by much of the Big XII thus far, Houston among those, as the Cougs have looked irresistible this season only against FCS foe Southern U. Certainly not last week vs. UCF, which had the Cougars on the ropes until well into the third quarter when Scott Frost temporarily ran low on QBs and was forced to use third-stringer Kaleb Annett - who couldn’t get the ball downfield - after starter Keyone Jenkins was temporarily KO’d following his disastrous interception deep in his own territory got Houston back into the game. It’s going to take a better effort than last week or the previous Saturday at Georgia Southern (both spread losses for the Cougars) to deal with a more-dangerous K-State squad that has had a week to lick its wounds after blowing a second-half lead at Cincinnati. Now it’s back to the Little Apple, where new head coach Collin Klein won all three for the ‘Cats in September, and where veteran dual-threat QB Avery Johnson (better than 300 yards per game total offense thus far) is more likely to fly, or perhaps run, which he did to the tune of 152 rushing yards the last time KSU played at Manhattan on September 19 vs. Tulane. The Willie Fritz defense must also now deal with a foe that will seriously opt for the overland route as the Cats’ smashmouth infantry is gaining better than 6.4 yards per carry while ranking 13th nationally at 241 yards per game, and probably do it better than a somewhat-disappointing Texas Tech a couple of weeks ago in Lubbock. Let’s also see if Houston can stand up a bit better against another quality QB after facing only one of those (Oregon State’s Braden Atkinson, in his first start, tossing for 376 yards) and another pair of so-so pilots (Georgia Southern’s ageless Max Johnson and Texas Tech’s rather limited Will Hammond) who burned the Cougs for over 550 combined pass yards in recent weeks.
Play Kansas State

Florida has won five of the last six meetings in this SEC matchup, with the last one being a 41-39 road win at South Carolina in October 2023. Gamecocks' head coach Shane Beamer can't afford another heart-breaker like that, and frankly, we're not sure how many more losses he can take under any circumstances if he wants to stay in Columbia. South Carolina is off to an 0-3 start (both straight-up and against the spread) in SEC play after last week's 35-34 loss to Kentucky. The Gamecocks jumped out to a 17-0 lead by the beginning of the second quarter, but the defense couldn't slow down Kentucky's offense after that. LaNorris Sellers ran for 147 yards in addition to his two touchdowns through the air. South Carolina's four games against FBS-level competition have all gone over the total. Florida is also licking its wounds after last week's 45-17 loss at Missouri. Just like the Gamecocks, all four of Florida's games against FBS-level competition have gone over the total. For the first time this season, the Gators' offense never got out of park. Jadan Baugh's Heisman campaign took a major hit after he was only able to generate 13 rushing yards on 12 attempts against the Tigers' defense. QB Aaron Philo failed to throw for 200 yards and he wasn't able to offer much on the ground, either. Even though Florida's offense struggled last week against Missouri, we see no reason to jump off the "over" train that each team is riding. The Gamecocks' defense was fired up and ready to go last week against Kentucky, forcing the Wildcats to punt on each of their first four possessions. As soon as Kentucky's offense started to make adjustments, South Carolina's defense had no answers. Big Blue scored on six of its last nine possessions. Beamer has floated the idea of benching Sellers, but after he produced 373 yards last week, the Gamecocks have bigger issues on the defensive side, not their veteran QB. Play the Over

The Ducks knocked the Oilers out of the playoffs last April. Five of those six games finished with seven or more goals. Overall, the games in that series averaged a whopping 7.83 goals. This season, Edmonton's three games have averaged 10.3 goals. While Anaheim's two games have averaged "only" six, Wednesday's playoff rematch should produce at least seven. Go with the over.

(451) Philadelphia Eagles at (452) Jacksonville Jaguars: Spread ***This is a 4% Client Release Play***

4% Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 (-120) Fight for best number!!! Still some -6.5 out there!!!

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Jacksonville is 3-1 and playing excellent football on both sides of the ball. The Jaguars entered this week No. 2 in DVOA, No. 2 in point differential and top six in defensive EPA/play. They’ve scored 104 points, allowed only 53, turned it over just twice and forced eight takeaways. Trevor Lawrence was extremely efficient last week, completing 18-of-23 for 227 yards in the road win at Cincinnati.

The biggest mismatch is Jacksonville’s defense against a Philadelphia offense that is getting crushed by injuries and poor execution. Philly went 0-for-12 on third down against the Rams and was shut out in the second half. The offensive line is a mess: Landon Dickerson is on IR, Cam Jurgens is in concussion protocol, Lane Johnson missed last week and Fred Johnson is also hurt. Philly has already allowed 12 sacks, and only Jordan Mailata and Tyler Steen remain in their original projected spots.

The skill-position injuries are just as bad. Saquon Barkley injured his hamstring and is uncertain, Tank Bigsby is on IR, DeVonta Smith has been dealing with a hamstring injury, Dallas Goedert has an MCL/knee injury and Hollywood Brown has an ankle issue. The defense is banged up too, with Jalen Carter playing through a hairline wrist fracture, Zack Baun dealing with a concussion and Marcus Epps injured. Philadelphia’s defense was also forced to play 83 snaps last week. Even more concerning, the Eagles have 0 defensive takeaways through four games. To me, that lack of disruption and energy is another red flag for a defense that has not looked nearly as aggressive or connected as it should.

The travel/preparation edge strongly favors Jacksonville. The Jaguars have played 14 London games since 2013, more than any team in the league, and they’ve repeatedly used London as a second home. Philadelphia is practicing in the U.S. and not leaving until Friday, taking an overnight flight before playing Sunday morning Eastern time. Jacksonville understands this setup better than anyone.

I also think the pressure on Nick Sirianni is becoming part of the handicap. Last week Philly led the Rams by 10 late and faced 4th-and-goal from the 2. Instead of kicking the field goal to go up 13, Sirianni went for the touchdown. They failed, Los Angeles drove 98 yards for a touchdown, and Philadelphia eventually lost 24-20. Sirianni admitted afterward that the decision falls on him. We’re also seeing visible frustration from players, and I believe he is getting dangerously close to losing control of this team if the offensive dysfunction continues.

Jacksonville is healthier, playing better, protecting the football, creating turnovers and has the far better London setup. Philadelphia is injured across multiple position groups, struggling offensively and making a late overseas trip. This does not feel like a neutral-field game to me.

This is a free play on PSU.

Surely a ranked USC team isn't gonna lose to a down in the dumps Penn State squad that already has two losses? Not so fast my friends. USC has looked downright awful, particularly on defense. Viral clips have surfaced of USC defenders giving two handed pushes in a half hearted attempt to direct opponents out of bounds instead of actually making a tackle. I am not sure that the Trojans are ready for all the smoke of a White Out at Beaver Stadium. Since 2012 USC is 2-10 straight up in games played in the Eastern Time Zone, and they failed to cover in both wins (Rugters & Purdue).

GL,

Jesse Schule

Take Ball State (#379)

My clients and I cashed a ‘right side’ winner backing Northwestern at home last Friday Night in their dominating blowout win against Penn State.  Here’s an excerpt from that write-up:

“It’s pretty clear at this stage – Northwestern is a good notch or two better than the betting markets thought they would be.  There’s nothing fraudulent about the Wildcats 100% ATS start.  Their defense has been outstanding; senior transfer QB Aiden Chiles has avoided mistakes, and this long sluggish offense has both a solid OL and ‘playmaker’ talent.  I’m not convinced in the slightest that the betting markets have caught up to how good David Braun’s team is this year; a value laden team after nearly a decade of mediocrity.  Northwestern is opening their brand spankin’ new field on Friday Night in front of a national TV audience; a rare occasion where the Wildcats will legitimately have a strong homefield edge.”

That was then, this is now.  Northwestern just enjoyed the biggest win in recent program history.  Up next?  A very winnable Big 10 road game at Michigan State.  In between?  This matchup against a MAC school; as ‘flat’ as a flat spot can be.  The Wildcats are just 5-4 SU in their last nine vs the MAC (favored in all of them). The last time they played Ball State, they won by 5 as 19 point chalk.  This is simply too many points, even against the bottom feeder Cardinals!  Take Ball State.

FREE PICK on Detroit Lions (ATS) | Good until -6.0.

Detroit hasn't looked incredible this season so far either. But, I'm still anticipating better results this year opposed to last year's non-playoff season. Detroit's offense is definitely good enough for it to go far this season. It's the defense which is lacking and that could change this weekend. Arizona lost by double digits to a backup QB NYG team. The Cards lost to the Niners in the week before. Go with Detroit.

I successfully played against the Minutemen last week. I felt that they weren't as good as their 4-0 record and that they shouldn't be laying that many points against Eastern Michigan. Sure enough, the underdog Eagles smoked them 38-14. No longer undefeated, UMass is now arguably facing an even tougher opponent. The Redhawks are 0-2 on the road but those losses came at Pittsburgh and Cincinnati and they nearly won the game against the Bearkats. The Redhawks are 4-0 the past four h2h meetings. This season, Miami has alternated wins and losses going L,W,L,W,L. Off last week's loss, look for the Hawks to bounce back and win their fifth straight in the series. *good at -3 or better