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2* PLAY on Austin +1 (-130), line good to -140

Leagues Cup quarter-final and don't be fooled by Toluca being the "hosts" here, as the game is played on neutral ground, so no home advantage for either side. Toluca being the better side, at least on paper, but Austin have been playing really well as of late and are eyeing a deeper run in this competition. Toluca almost always play it safe on the road in similar situations and I definitely see Austin putting up a fight here.

Austin didn't suddenly turn into a contender and they are still the weaker team, but having seen Toluca on the road in these situations has me very skeptical whether they can cover a -1 spread. Getting Austin +1 means that we get paid if Austin win or if the game ends in a Draw in regulation, the bet is a Push/Refund if Toluca win by exactly 1 goal, and the bet loses if Toluca win by 2+ goals.

If Austin manage to score here, it would take at least 2 Toluca goals to threaten this bet. I'm not suggesting that it is impossible, hence the 2* rating, but if Toluca are up by 1 goal towards the end they will not look for another goal, they will look to protect the lead.

2* Play on Austin +1 (-130), line good to -140