The Mad Russian Picks, Betting Predictions, and Capper Bio
MR
Consultant Bio
Jeff Petch, known as The Mad Russian, is an NFL-only handicapper with one of the strongest documented contest résumés in football betting. In 2021, he tied for 1st in the Circa Sports Million III, cashing $325,000 with a 63-27 (70%) record, the best single-season record in Circa Sports Million history. He owns a 299-221-15 (57%) lifetime Circa Sports Million record, finished 13th in the 2020 Circa Sports Million II at 53-31-1 (63%), and won the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN, earning the coveted Green Jacket.
MR
MR
Consultant Bio
Jeff Petch, known as The Mad Russian, is an NFL-only handicapper with one of the strongest documented contest résumés in football betting. In 2021, he tied for 1st in the Circa Sports Million III, cashing $325,000 with a 63-27 (70%) record, the best single-season record in Circa Sports Million history. He owns a 299-221-15 (57%) lifetime Circa Sports Million record, finished 13th in the 2020 Circa Sports Million II at 53-31-1 (63%), and won the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN, earning the coveted Green Jacket.
MR
5% NFL WEEK 10 SUNDAY ALL ACCESS W/ 5% TOP PLAY, GERMANY GAME & SNF
INCLUDES (1) 5%, (5) 4% & (1) 3% / 4-0 LAST-4 NFL 5% PLAYS / 18-8 LAST-26 NFL MONEYLINE PLAYS / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / +54 UNITS IN NFL SINCE 11/2/25 / +59 UNITS SINCE 11/27/25 ON 4% OR 5% PLAYS / EXCLUSIVELY NFL CAPPER / FRIDAY FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL CHAMP & GREEN JACKET WINNER!!
- CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time and tied for 1st place in the 2021 Circa Sports Million III - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469. - 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest with a 53-31-1 (63%), cashing $10,535. - Received an invitation to square off against 15 professional handicappers in the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN Sports Betting Network, where he clenched the coveted Green Jacket victory and cashed $15,000. - The Mad Russian holds a lifetime record of 304-217-14 (58%) in the Circa Sports Million Contest
78% ON 5% NFL PLAYS SINCE 10/4/26
56-40-2 LAST-98 NFL 4% PLAYS
+54 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25
#1 FUTURES 2-YEARS STRAIGHT ON NFL REGULAR SEASON
19-8 LAST-27 FREE PLAYS
64% ON NFL PROPS LAST YEAR
+41 UNITS IN NFL REGULAR SEASON FUTURES LAST TWO YEARS
4-0 ON MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
19-11 LAST-30 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ATS OR ML
5% NFL WEEK 10 TOP PLAY!!! 4-0 LAST-4 NFL 5% PLAYS
18-8 LAST-26 NFL MONEYLINE PLAYS / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / 78% ON 5% NFL PLAYS SINCE 10/4/26 / +54 UNITS IN NFL SINCE 11/2/25 / +59 UNITS SINCE 11/27/25 ON 4% OR 5% PLAYS / EXCLUSIVELY NFL CAPPER / FRIDAY FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL CHAMP & GREEN JACKET WINNER!!
- CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time and tied for 1st place in the 2021 Circa Sports Million III - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469. - 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest with a 53-31-1 (63%), cashing $10,535. - Received an invitation to square off against 15 professional handicappers in the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN Sports Betting Network, where he clenched the coveted Green Jacket victory and cashed $15,000. - The Mad Russian holds a lifetime record of 304-217-14 (58%) in the Circa Sports Million Contest
+54 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25
#1 FUTURES 2-YEARS STRAIGHT ON NFL REGULAR SEASON
19-8 LAST-27 FREE PLAYS
64% ON NFL PROPS LAST YEAR
+41 UNITS IN NFL REGULAR SEASON FUTURES LAST TWO YEARS
4-0 ON MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
19-11 LAST-30 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ATS OR ML
NFL WEEK 10 LATE GAMES 3-PACK W/ SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL (3 GAMES)
Promo text
+54 UNITS IN NFL SINCE 11/2/25 / 4-0 LAST-4 NFL 5% PLAYS / 18-8 LAST-26 NFL MONEYLINE PLAYS / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / +59 UNITS SINCE 11/27/25 ON 4% OR 5% PLAYS / 78% ON 5% NFL PLAYS SINCE 10/4/26 / EXCLUSIVELY NFL CAPPER / FRIDAY FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL CHAMP & GREEN JACKET WINNER!!
- CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time and tied for 1st place in the 2021 Circa Sports Million III - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469. - 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest with a 53-31-1 (63%), cashing $10,535. - Received an invitation to square off against 15 professional handicappers in the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN Sports Betting Network, where he clenched the coveted Green Jacket victory and cashed $15,000. - The Mad Russian holds a lifetime record of 304-217-14 (58%) in the Circa Sports Million Contest
+54 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25
#1 FUTURES 2-YEARS STRAIGHT ON NFL REGULAR SEASON
19-8 LAST-27 FREE PLAYS
64% ON NFL PROPS LAST YEAR
+41 UNITS IN NFL REGULAR SEASON FUTURES LAST TWO YEARS
4-0 ON MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
19-11 LAST-30 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ATS OR ML
4% MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL CHARGERS AT RAVENS (4-0 MNF THIS SEASON)
Promo text
+54 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25 / 4-0 LAST-4 NFL 5% PLAYS / 18-8 LAST-26 NFL MONEYLINE PLAYS / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / +54 UNITS IN NFL SINCE 11/2/25 / EXCLUSIVELY NFL CAPPER / FRIDAY FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL CHAMP & GREEN JACKET WINNER!!
- CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time and tied for 1st place in the 2021 Circa Sports Million III - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469. - 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest with a 53-31-1 (63%), cashing $10,535. - Received an invitation to square off against 15 professional handicappers in the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN Sports Betting Network, where he clenched the coveted Green Jacket victory and cashed $15,000. - The Mad Russian holds a lifetime record of 304-217-14 (58%) in the Circa Sports Million Contest
78% ON 5% NFL PLAYS SINCE 10/4/26
+59 UNITS SINCE 11/27/25 ON 4% OR 5% PLAYS
56-40-2 LAST-98 NFL 4% PLAYS
#1 FUTURES 2-YEARS STRAIGHT ON NFL REGULAR SEASON
19-8 LAST-27 FREE PLAYS
64% ON NFL PROPS LAST YEAR
+41 UNITS IN NFL REGULAR SEASON FUTURES LAST TWO YEARS
19-11 LAST-30 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ATS OR ML
NFL
Free Picks
Game SelectionThe PLAY:Game Time
NFL9:30am EST Nov 15, 2026
(261) New England Patriots at (262) Detroit Lions: Spread
The Play
4% New England Patriots +2.5 (100)
(261) New England Patriots at (262) Detroit Lions: Spread
NFL
4% New England Patriots +2.5 (100)
9:30am EST - Nov 15, 2026
NFL9:30am EST Nov 15, 2026
(261) New England Patriots at (262) Detroit Lions: Spread
The Play
4% New England Patriots +2.5 (100)
(261) New England Patriots at (262) Detroit Lions: Spread
NFL
4% New England Patriots +2.5 (100)
9:30am EST - Nov 15, 2026
(261) New England Patriots at (262) Detroit Lions: Spread 19-8 LAST-27 FREE PLAYS
Here is my full video breakdown and analysis on YouTube:
If you can’t see the link, search YouTube for: The Mad Russian Wagertalk
This is one of my favorite situations in NFL handicapping: backing a Good to Great Team with a Good to Great Coach and Good to Great Quarterback after being HUMILIATED the previous week. New England was embarrassed 45-27 at home by Green Bay, committing 4 turnovers. I expect a completely different effort from Mike Vrabel's team. The Patriots are 3-0 straight up following their previous 3 losses this season, including an impressive 29-26 upset at Buffalo after getting destroyed 35-6 by Jacksonville.
Detroit may be 6-2, but this Lions defense has some serious vulnerabilities. Detroit ranks DEAD LAST in the NFL against the pass, allowing 260.9 yards per game, and has surrendered a league-high 34 pass plays of 20+ yards. Meanwhile, New England leads the entire NFL with 123 offensive plays gaining 10+ yards. That's an outstanding matchup for Drake Maye, particularly with Detroit missing starting cornerback D.J. Reed and safety Kerby Joseph. A.J. Brown has also returned to practice for New England and has a chance to play Sunday.
Here's a fascinating matchup advantage. Jared Goff has struggled significantly against Cover-4 defenses this season, completing just 59.7% of his passes for 5.8 yards per attempt. Against every other coverage, those numbers jump to 70.4% and 8.5 yards. Even more impressive, Goff's EPA per dropback falls from +0.25 to -0.12 against Cover 4, an enormous 0.37 difference. Vrabel is a defensive-minded coach, and New England has the ability to incorporate more quarters coverage to take away Goff's preferred crossing routes and throws over the middle.
New England's biggest issue has been turnovers, with 19 giveaways through 9 games. But here's something interesting: Detroit has forced just 8 turnovers all season, including 3 in its opener against New Orleans. That's only 5 takeaways over the Lions' last 7 games. Detroit has an excellent pass rush, but its defense hasn't consistently generated multiple takeaways, which could help New England avoid another turnover-filled performance.
Finally, don't overlook Detroit's demanding travel schedule. The Lions played in Miami last Sunday, traveled across the Atlantic for this game in Munich, return home to face Tampa Bay next Sunday, and then play Chicago on Thanksgiving. That's 4 games in 19 calendar days, including international travel. New England also arrived in Germany a full day earlier than Detroit, giving the Patriots additional time to acclimate. The Lions are dangerous, but I love the bounce-back situation, the explosive passing matchup, and getting points with Vrabel and Maye. NEW ENGLAND +2.5 is the play.
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