3* GOTY is equal to a 5% MAX BET!
#1 2024 NFL Postseason 11-1 +35U
13-8 NFL 5% Plays 2025
Cashed 3* Wild Card weekend play
Time is running out to lock in this can't-miss NFL GOTY wager! We finished #1 in the 2024 NFL Postseason and I'm bringing you my top confidence play for the Divisional Round slate. The play is backed by data, trends & insider analysis. Grab this play before the line moves and let's secure this bag.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (389) San Francisco 49ers at (390) Seattle Seahawks: Zach Charbonnet Anytime Touchdown | 7:00pm EST - Jan 17/2026 |
The PLAY: Zach Charbonnet Anytime Touchdown Yes (-110)
Zach Charbonnet Anytime Touchdown Yes (-110):
Zach Charbonnet has quietly been a touchdown scoring machine in 2025 with scores in three straight games and 63% of his games on the season while Kenneth Walker III has only scored once in his last 7 games and in only 24% of his games on the season. That includes both of Charbonnet's head-to-head games against the San Francisco 49ers where he's combined for 29 carries and 121 rushing yards. Since Week 12, Charbonnet has taken over the red zone work with 23 carries for 6 scores while Walker III has logged only 9 carries with zero scores and Charbonnet has dominated the usage inside the five-yard line 8-1. The 49ers rank 31st in the NFL in defensive success rate as they have struggled to make tackles with injuries to key players including Fred Warner and Nick Bosa. San Francisco has utilized a stacked box on a league low 15.6% of their defensive snaps and Charbonnet has faced 8+ defenders in the box on 35.1% of his runs (3rd most NFL). The Seahawks have turned to Charbonnet during the most critical part of the season, and he should see a run heavy game script with Seattle being favored by -7 at home where he's scored in 6/7 games (86%).
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (507) Boston Celtics at (508) Miami Heat: Anfernee Simons Points | 7:40pm EST - Jan 15/2026 |
The PLAY: Anfernee Simons Points Over 12.5 (-120)
Anfernee Simons OVER 12.5 Points (-120) MGM
Anfernee Simons has heated up recently while clearing this line in 8 of his last 9 games and averaging 14.8 points per game on a 46% field goal percentage and a 49% three-point percentage during his last 10 games. Simons has overtaken Sam Hauser in the Boston Celtics rotation while consistently getting 25+ minutes per game and when he's logged that time with 10+ field goal attempts, he's covered this line in a perfect 15/15 games. That includes a game against the Miami Heat on December 19th where Simons scored 14 points while shooting 6/10 from the field across 29 minutes of play. Simons has thrived against the Heat in general as he scored 24, 28 & 26 points in his last three head-to-head games as a member of the Portland Trailblazers. This is the biggest pace up spot possible as the Celtics rank dead last in tempo while Miami ranks #1 in the entire league. The Celtics are -2.5-point road favorites with a total set high 234.5 so we should see a competitive game leading to full minutes.
*Playable at 13.5 or better
Consultant Bio
Steve Seagrave has had a passion for breaking down and analyzing sports for decades and he has consistently picked winners while focusing on steady growth and never chasing losses. He specializes in player and team props in the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, CFB, and CBB but he is not afraid to utilize a side or total when necessary. Seagrave owned and operated multiple sports-themed pizzerias for over a decade so he knows what it takes to thrive in what can be a brutal industry. In 2020, Seagrave successfully sold the business to chase his dream of becoming a professional sports handicapper. Since then, he has assisted in several profitable seasons with his mentor Andy Lang, written articles for WagerTalk News & the Goldsheet, and co-hosted “Road to Millions”.
Seagrave has been involved in sports and sports gambling for his entire life. As a proud New Englander, he has been an avid fan of all the local teams and was a dedicated fantasy sports player long before it was cool. Seagrave learned the gambling ropes under a bookmaking mentor but eventually decided to go into business for himself by making his own picks. Once player and team props became widely available in sportsbooks, it was a natural fit based on his fantasy sports knowledge and experience.
Since going pro, Seagrave hit the ground running with a profitable MLB season where he picked 56% winners. He has also cashed 66% of his NFL Max Play tickets and 80% of his College Football plays. Seagrave also has a great track record with future plays, going 18-8 (69%) in the NFL, MLB, and NBA during the past two seasons. He has also always had a passion for writing and has contributed countless articles for WagerTalk News and the Goldsheet. This past year, Seagrave was also an integral part in launching Andy Lang's “Road to Millions”, a sports gambling show that focuses on strict bankroll management.
Seagrave utilizes extensive statistical analysis, trends, and game script to track down the winners and he prides himself on honesty and transparency. You can count on well-researched plays with detailed write-ups for selections in the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, CFB, CBB, and more. Seagrave is thrilled to be part of the Sports Memo team and looks forward to bringing you winners on a consistent basis.