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Why would you NOT get on board with Sunday's 4% O/U BEST BET from the diamond?
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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (957) St. Louis Cardinals at (958) San Diego Padres: Moneyline | 4:10pm EDT - May 10/2026 |
The PLAY: San Diego Padres -135 Kyle Leahy (RHP), Walker Buehler (RHP) Must Start
I was on the Padres yesterday (2% release), figuring they weren't about to be swept at home this weekend by the Cardinals. We cashed the bet with the home team winning by a score of 4-2. Even though St. Louis was able to take the first two games of this series, I'm still not a big believer in a team that had a preseason win projection of only 69.5 and - thus - would recommend playing San Diego again on Sunday.
Something that I neglected to even mention in yesterday's analysis (shame on me) is the massive bullpen advantage the Padres have over most opponents, thanks to lights out closer Mason Miller, who has been scored on in just one of his 18 appearances this season and is 12 for 12 in save opportunities. Miller was asked to get four outs Saturday and ran into some uncharacteristic trouble in the 9th, allowing three baserunners. But he still ended up striking out the side.
The Cardinals' bullpen has the 7th highest ERA in all of baseball (4.67), so it's a big edge on "the back end" for SD here. When called upon, I don't see Miller "struggling" again as he did yesterday. In terms of Sunday's starting pitching matchup, the Padres are going with Walker Buehler, who has been way better at home than on the road. St. Louis turns to Kyle Leahy, whose overall numbers are still pretty bad even after a better than expected outing vs. Milwaukee earlier in the week. We're talking about a guy with a 5.98 xERA, 1.64 WHIP and 5.21 FIP. Look for SD to get out to an early lead and then for Miller to "shut the door" as this ends up as a 2-2 series split.
Consultant Bio
After spending the previous decade at Covers Experts, Bryan Power has wasted little time establishing himself. A consistent winner since first emerging on the scene back in 2011, Power didn't have a single losing calendar year in his first decade as a pro handicapper! In April & May of this year (2022), he went on an amazing 154-99-2 (+$41,322) with all plays!
Power handicaps football (both NFL and college), basketball (NBA and college), MLB, Soccer (most major European leagues), and the UFC. He uses a personal set of power ratings, combined with situational handicapping, to make his selections. Multiple bets per day across multiple sports are the norm.