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Last updated Mar 28, 4:08 PM EDT
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (911) Boston Red Sox at (912) Houston Astros: Moneyline | 2:10pm EDT - Apr 1/2026 |
The PLAY: Boston Red Sox -148 Garrett Crochet (LHP), Mike Burrows (RHP) Must Start
3% Boston (2:10 ET): Since winning 3-0 on Opening Day (at Cincinnati), the Red Sox have dropped four in a row in pretty ugly fashion. They’ll look to avoid the sweep this afternoon behind ace Garrett Crochet. Now, no matter how you want to look at it, the first two games here in Houston have not gone well for Boston. They’ve been outscored 17-3 while managing only eight hits total (four in each game). In yesterday’s 9-2 loss, the Red Sox struck out 13 times with leadoff man Roman Anthony accounting for four of those. In fact, Anthony’s first three strikeouts came on nine pitches! This is a lineup that has scored just 13 runs in the first five games while striking out a collective 54 times.
That all being said, it’s pretty telling that the Red Sox are favored this afternoon, as they have been in all but one game to start this season. That’s mainly due to the fact they’ve got a clear starting pitching edge with Crochet, who returns to the bump after an Opening Day performance which saw the southpaw toss six scoreless innings of three-hit ball. It’s the one game Boston has won this season. Crochet finished with eight strikeouts and just two walks on Opening Day. Contrast that with the first outing of the season for Mike Burrows, Houston’s starter for Wednesday’s series finale. Burrows allowed five runs, including two homers, in a 6-2 loss to the Angels last Friday.
I acknowledge that the Astros' lineup has been hot - with 37 runs scored in their L4 games - and had success in the past against Crochet. But, overall, Houston is NOT a team that I was particularly high on entering the regular season. I bet them to MISS the playoffs. Let’s not forget they scored just two runs total in the first two games of the season, so the last four could very well be mirage, especially given the fact they were in the bottom third of the league in runs scored last year. Boston was top six in MLB in scoring during 2025, so it’s only a matter of time before they get the bats going. Behind Crochet, who posted a 2.59 ERA w/ 11.2 K’s per nine innings last season, I am banking on the Red Sox getting out to an early advantage here. Also, Houston is missing closer Josh Hader (biceps injury). 3% Boston (Play to -160)
Consultant Bio
After spending the previous decade at Covers Experts, Bryan Power has wasted little time establishing himself. A consistent winner since first emerging on the scene back in 2011, Power didn't have a single losing calendar year in his first decade as a pro handicapper! In April & May of this year (2022), he went on an amazing 154-99-2 (+$41,322) with all plays!
Power handicaps football (both NFL and college), basketball (NBA and college), MLB, Soccer (most major European leagues), and the UFC. He uses a personal set of power ratings, combined with situational handicapping, to make his selections. Multiple bets per day across multiple sports are the norm.