David Hess is unloading his NFL Total of the Week, a play he’s been locked onto from the moment the number opened. The matchup lines up, the value is undeniable, and this is the one he’s circling with maximum confidence. When Hess isolates a total like this, it’s built to cash. This play is in my 3-Pack.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (383) Los Angeles Chargers at (384) New England Patriots: Spread | 8:15pm EST - Jan 11/2026 |
The PLAY: Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (-105)
The Chargers +3.5 make sense the moment you look past the surface numbers and focus on how these two teams actually function, because this matchup tilts toward a slow, defensive, field‑position game where grabbing more than a field goal carries real value. LA has been one of the most conservative road teams in the league, and the profile is unmistakable: their road games average 36.2 total points, they score just 19.1 ppg, and their defense—top‑five in total yards allowed, top‑five against the pass, and top‑10 in scoring—gives up only 17.1 ppg away from home. That travels. New England’s defense is strong at home as well, allowing 18.2 ppg, but their offense doesn’t separate in these kinds of matchups, especially against a Chargers front that ranks top‑10 in pressure rate and matches up well with a Patriots offensive line that has been inconsistent all season. LA’s ability to run the ball (121.6 ypg) and shorten games matters even more when you add in the coaching and historical angles: John Harbaugh is 5–1 ATS as an underdog of 3+ points off back‑to‑back losses, and that’s exactly the kind of situational edge that shows up in tight, low‑variance playoff games. And the broader trend is just as telling—NFL playoff teams that won four games or fewer the previous season are 3–13 in their first postseason game the next year since 1996, a direct warning sign for a New England team making a big year‑to‑year leap. With LA’s defense built to keep this close, their road style suppressing scoring, and the historical markers all pointing in the same direction, the +3.5 holds real weight.
Consultant Bio
David Hess has earned his place as one of the most trusted and respected handicappers in the industry. With years of experience analyzing games across all major college and professional sports, David brings a unique blend of passion, precision, and statistical expertise to his craft. Whether it’s football on Saturday afternoons, baseball in the heat of summer, or basketball under the bright lights of March, David has built a reputation for consistently delivering results.
At the heart of David’s success is his keen eye for totals. While many handicappers focus on sides, David has carved out a niche by specializing in Over/Under plays, where he consistently identifies value others often overlook. Totals betting requires not only an understanding of matchups, but also pace, efficiency, and situational factors that go beyond the box score. David excels at weaving these elements together, blending advanced metrics, historical data, and real-time information to produce plays that give bettors an edge. Over the course of his career, he has hit more than 61% of his college football totals, a remarkable level of consistency that has made him a go-to source for bettors who want reliable winners.
But David’s expertise extends far beyond totals. He is a true all-around handicapper, covering the full spectrum of sports with confidence and accuracy. In the NFL, David’s ability to read line movement and anticipate public perception gives him an edge week after week. On the college football side, he dives deep into team tendencies, coaching styles, and matchup advantages, producing insights that often uncover value the oddsmakers miss. In MLB, David shines by evaluating bullpens, advanced hitting splits, and situational angles that allow him to consistently cash tickets. Basketball is another area of strength, where his understanding of tempo and efficiency metrics helps him dominate both NBA and college hoops.
David’s approach is not about chasing big wins with reckless wagers—it’s about long-term, disciplined success. He treats handicapping as both an art and a science, combining data-driven analysis with intuition developed through years of experience. His clients know they’re not just getting plays; they’re getting plays backed by hours of research and proven methodology.
One of the reasons bettors trust David is his transparency and honesty. He takes pride in his record, openly sharing his results and letting his track record speak for itself. In an industry where hype can often outweigh substance, David separates himself by delivering exactly what he promises: consistent, profitable picks.
Above all, David Hess is passionate about helping his clients win. He understands that every bettor is looking for an edge, and his job is to provide it. By focusing on what he does best—breaking down games, analyzing totals, and uncovering hidden value—David continues to prove why he is considered one of the sharpest handicappers in the game today.
Whether you’re a casual bettor looking for some action on the weekend, or a serious investor focused on building profits long term, David Hess has the knowledge, experience, and winning track record to help you succeed.