Real Madrid vs Villarreal
La Liga, Saturday, 3pm ET
Play: Both Teams to Score (-220) & Over 2.5 Goals (-375)
Odds at Time of Release: -160 MGM
Line Parameter: Line good to -175
Real Madrid are -250 favourites at home, the Draw is at +480 and Villarreal are +570 underdogs, with the spread at 1.5 and the total at 3.75.
Right off the bat, be VERY careful betting this weekend because it's the first weekend after one of the biggest international breaks we've seen in recent memory, and also a weekend before mid-week Champions and Europa League. Players came back injured from the international break, while others travelled literally around the globe and were only recently reinstated at their clubs.
For example, Mbappe was forced off France's squad due to a minor injury, Dumfries played 4 matches in 11 days, and the list goes on. Vini Jr travelled all the way to Australia, then to India, then back to Spain. And he is not even the real Vini, it's his evil twin that we see now, don't know if you heard the rumors that he's been replaced. Any way.
Real Madrid with just 1 clean sheet in 8 competitive matches, at home vs newly promoted Malaga. Conceded against Espanyol, Elche and Rayo Vallecano among others, so defense is not that good. They are 6-2 to the Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals, with the only exceptions of the 4-0 win vs lowly Malaga and a 1-0 loss away at Betis, in a match where Real Madrid had a disallowed goal, a missed penalty kick and THREE shots at the crossbar to go along with 3.46 xG, so they were extremely unlucky.
Villarreal are 7-1 to the Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals in all competitions this season, offense is really good with 2+ goals in 6 of 8 but defense is leaky with 2+ conceded goals in 5 of 8.
8 of L/9 H2H regardless of venue produced Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals, as well as 6 of L/8 in Madrid.
This is a 2* Same Game Parlay with Both Teams to Score (-220) & Over 2.5 Goals (-375) final price -160 MGM, line good to -175