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Slovakia vs Faroe Islands
UEFA Nations League, Friday, 2:45pm ET

Play: Draw
Odds at Time of Release: +377
Line Parameter: Good to +340

Slovakia are -260 favourites at home, the Draw at +377 and the Faroe Islands are +700 underdogs here, with the Spread at 1.5 and the Total at 2.5

Slovakia are leading this group with 10 points, the Faroe Islands and Moldova have 4 points each, and Kazakhstan are last with 2 points. The tiebreaker in this stage is H2H, and Slovakia are winning every tie so far as they haven't lost a single match. So that means that a Draw on Friday would see them lock the top spot, no matter what happens in the other matches of the group.

So the books are dangling a -260 ML on a team that doesn't even need to win in order to lock the top spot. Absolutely no value and a big trap there too, I'd much rather go with the Draw at +377 or even Faroe Islands +1.5 (-135) than go with a -260 ML on a team that doesn't need to win.

A Draw wouldn't be a bad result for the Faroe Islands, who will host Moldova in the last match of the group stage, and a win there would see them finish 2nd in the group.

The reverse fixture in the Faroe Islands was a very balanced and fair 1-1 draw and, if you ask me, the Faroe Islands could've won that match - they did have a shot at the post that could've been a winner, more shots on target and more xG.

That being said, Slovakia ML at -260 is completely out of the question and a very big TRAP, even if they win this game. Betting is all about finding value and getting good odds, so I'm taking my chances with a small stake on the Draw (+377). And I wouldn't go against anyone that picks Faroe +1.5.

Take 1* on the Draw (+377), good to +340